Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-07 0.036828 0.040192 0.043595 0.047287 0.051174 0.055138 0.059481
2025-09-14 0.031844 0.036829 0.042049 0.047899 0.054247 0.060903 0.068387
2025-09-21 0.027799 0.033907 0.040508 0.048115 0.056582 0.065664 0.076087
2025-09-28 0.025335 0.032388 0.040221 0.049462 0.059963 0.071432 0.084811
2025-10-05 0.022160 0.029731 0.038375 0.048811 0.060911 0.074352 0.090267
2025-10-12 0.019897 0.027915 0.037304 0.048873 0.062520 0.077901 0.096343
2025-10-19 0.018276 0.026716 0.036825 0.049508 0.064697 0.082027 0.103024
2025-10-26 0.017040 0.025877 0.036684 0.050465 0.067186 0.086471 0.110048
2025-11-02 0.014683 0.023423 0.034400 0.048683 0.066296 0.086871 0.112297
2025-11-09 0.013200 0.021998 0.033306 0.048273 0.066982 0.089069 0.116603
2025-11-16 0.011910 0.020732 0.032331 0.047939 0.067699 0.091258 0.120864
2025-11-23 0.011406 0.020516 0.032696 0.049284 0.070478 0.095925 0.128085
2025-11-30 0.010751 0.020063 0.032747 0.050251 0.072835 0.100156 0.134891
2025-12-07 0.010013 0.019435 0.032526 0.050840 0.074709 0.103806 0.141023
2025-12-14 0.009206 0.018645 0.032038 0.051042 0.076069 0.106814 0.146383
2025-12-21 0.008847 0.018512 0.032446 0.052429 0.078948 0.111712 0.154065
2025-12-28 0.007889 0.017364 0.031359 0.051748 0.079116 0.113211 0.157571
2026-01-04 0.007230 0.016642 0.030841 0.051810 0.080226 0.115872 0.162499
2026-01-11 0.006789 0.016244 0.030770 0.052469 0.082107 0.119499 0.168624
2026-01-18 0.006466 0.016024 0.030946 0.053460 0.084426 0.123684 0.175457
2026-01-25 0.005477 0.014546 0.029152 0.051611 0.082902 0.122936 0.176098
2026-02-01 0.004907 0.013765 0.028383 0.051186 0.083262 0.124579 0.179724
2026-02-08 0.004402 0.013057 0.027691 0.050839 0.083705 0.126314 0.183457